West Bromwich Albion vs Leeds prediction 29.12.2023

• Competition: Championship
• Date: Friday, 29th December 2023
• Kickoff: 20:15 UK / 21:15 CET
• Venue: The Hawthorns (West Bromwich)

WBA lack the strength to vie for direct promotion, however, they are contenders for the promotion playoff spot. Currently, they hold 5th place on the table, leading by three points against teams outside the promotion zone. Upon closer inspection of WBA, it’s evident that their performance is consistent, but their offensive line is not as strong as the top Championship teams. WBA netted just 35 goals in 24 matches, which is 13 less than the league leader, Leicester.

Recently, WBA’s performance has been subpar, with only two victories in their last six matches. In their most recent match, WBA managed a 1-0 win against Norwich at home. With the home side having an xG of 1.88 against the guests’ 0.46, it’s unsurprising that WBA emerged victorious.

Having dropped from the Premier League to the Championship, Leeds are eager to swiftly bounce back. After over half the season, they are now one position above West Bromwich Albion (WBA). However, they stand a better chance of securing a direct promotion spot. This would only be possible if Leeds improve their performance, as Daniel Farke’s team has won only one of their last four matches. They lost their previous game 2-1 to Preston while on the road. Despite Preston’s expected goals (xG) being a mere 0.37, they managed to score two goals, suggesting that Leeds are currently struggling. Now, Farke’s team is set to face West Bromwich, where their chances of success are anticipated to be significantly lower.

West Bromwich Albion vs Leeds pick: Under 2.5 goals

In the previous four matches, WBA conceded just two goals and all of these matches had under 2.5 goals. Meanwhile, Leeds had under 2.5 goals in three out of their last five games. Therefore, a bet on under 2.5 goals appears to be the most promising for this tie.