Lens vs PSG prediction 14.01.2024

• Competition: Ligue 1
• Date: Sunday, 14th January 2024
• Kickoff: 19:45 UK / 20:45 CET
• Venue: Stade Bollaert-Delelis (Lens)

Lens had an exceptional season last year, finishing second in the club’s history and just one point behind the eventual winners, PSG. Despite a poor start to this season in Ligue 1, with only one point from the first five games, Lens managed to improve their performance and climb up the league rankings. Currently, they are in 7th place with 26 points, just one point away from the European spots but a full 14 points behind the league leaders, PSG. However, following consecutive defeats to Nice in Ligue 1 and Monaco in the Cup, Lens finds themselves in a tough spot as they prepare to face the top team in France.

For over a decade, PSG has maintained a strong hold on French football, securing nine league titles in the past 12 seasons. Despite their domestic dominance, their aspiration to clinify the Champions League title remains elusive. The Summer transfer window saw the club undergoing significant changes, with key players like Messi, Neymar, and Ramos, among others, leaving the team. There was also a tense situation with Mbappe who almost departed but ultimately remained. The board managed to rebuild a strong team despite these setbacks. In the Champions League, the Parisians barely scraped through to the next stage after facing a challenging group. Nevertheless, PSG currently sits at the top of Ligue 1, once again demonstrating their prowess in French football. They recently added another feather to their cap by securing a 2:0 victory against Toulouse in the Super Cup.

Lens vs PSG pick: Under 3.5 goals

This season, Lens is struggling significantly on the offensive front, having managed to score just 21 goals in 17 rounds, averaging 1.23 goals per game. This is a significant drop from their previous season’s average, where they scored approximately 0.5 more goals per game. Despite these offensive issues, their strong defense has kept them high up in the league’s rankings. As a result of their weak offense and solid defense, Lens has seen less than 3.5 goals in 13 out of 17 games, which equates to 76.5% of their games.

PSG stands as the top team in the league and is undeniably the most superior offensive team, scoring 42 goals in 17 rounds. However, their performance is notably weaker when playing away, with an average of “only” 2.125 goals per game, as opposed to 2.8 when playing at home. Conversely, with just six goals conceded in eight rounds while playing away, PSG boasts the strongest defensive record on the road.

Recently, in four of the last five games, Lens had fewer than 3.5 goals, while PSG had fewer than 3.5 goals in six of the last eight matches. Considering these statistics, we believe that placing a bet on fewer than 3.5 goals is the safest option for this match.