Italy vs Malta prediction 14.10.2023
Italy
Malta
Contents
- Competition: EURO 2024 Qualifiers
- Date: Saturday, 14th October 2023
- Kickoff: 19:45 UTC +1 / 20:45 CEST
- Venue: Stadio San Nicola (Bari)
Italy, who triumphed as the EURO 2021 champions, experienced an unexpected setback in the previous World Cup when they were eliminated by the underdog, North Macedonia, in the Playoffs. However, they managed to bounce back from this colossal failure by performing admirably in the UEFA Nations League A. They emerged victorious in their group and subsequently secured third place in the Nations League Playoffs. This achievement guaranteed Italy a playoff spot in the upcoming EURO tournament, providing them with a safety net in case they fail to advance from the group stage. This is particularly crucial considering that they are grouped with England and Ukraine. Currently, Italy holds the second position with seven points, on par with Ukraine and North Macedonia, but having played one game less.
Malta is considered one of the least competitive teams in both Europe and the world, currently ranked #171 on the FIFA World Ranking List. In the previous UEFA Nations League D, they secured the second position in Group Estonia and San Marino. However, in Group C for EURO 2024, Malta has not yet earned any points in five matches and is the only team in the group with no possibility of qualifying, even theoretically.
Italy vs Malta pick: Under 3.5 goals
Italy has been undefeated in all four matches during these EURO Qualifiers. It is highly likely that they will dominate this particular match and have a good chance of not conceding any goals against a team that has scored only once in five rounds of these Qualifiers. However, we should not anticipate Italy to score excessively as they have never been a team that completely overwhelms opponents, even weaker ones such as Malta.
In the previous years, Malta has not achieved favorable results as a team. Nevertheless, they have made progress in their defensive capabilities, as evidenced by allowing more than two goals in only one of their last 17 games, which happened to be against England.
Italy has emerged victorious in the last five head-to-head games, with all five matches concluding with a total of under 2.5 goals.
Best bookmakers for Italy vs Malta match
Italy vs Malta Head to Head (H2H) stats
-
26 mar 23
Malta
0 : 2
Italy
Euro Qualification
-
03 sep 15
Italy
1 : 0
Malta
Euro Qualification
-
13 oct 14
Malta
0 : 1
Italy
Euro Qualification
-
26 mar 13
Malta
0 : 2
Italy
WC Qualification Europe
-
11 sep 12
Italy
2 : 0
Malta
WC Qualification Europe
Italy team news
Italy faced difficulties with their striker position in recent years. To address this issue, they brought in Mateo Retegui, an Argentinian-born player, who made a significant impact in his initial matches, scoring two goals in four appearances. Unfortunately, he will not be available for the upcoming games due to knee problems. In the previous match against Ukraine, Giacomo Raspadori was chosen as the starting striker and is expected to retain his position for the upcoming game as well.
Ciro Immobile, another striker, will also be absent from the team due to a muscle injury.
Luciano Spalletti took over as the new national head coach on September 1st. During his tenure, Italia secured four points from two matches against Ukraine and North Macedonia.
Last matches of Italy
-
12 sep 23
Italy
2 : 1
Ukraine
Euro Qualification
-
09 sep 23
North Macedonia
1 : 1
Italy
Euro Qualification
-
18 jun 23
Netherlands
2 : 3
Italy
UEFA Nations League
-
15 jun 23
Spain
2 : 1
Italy
UEFA Nations League
-
26 mar 23
Malta
0 : 2
Italy
Euro Qualification
Italy lineup
Goalkeeper
-
1
Gianluigi Donnarumma
Defenders
-
2
Giovanni Di Lorenzo
-
15
Giorgio Scalvini
-
23
Alessandro Bastoni
-
3
Federico Dimarco
Midfielders
-
18
Nicolo Barella
-
5
Manuel Locatelli
-
8
Davide Frattesi
Forwards
-
11
Domenico Berardi
-
10
Giacomo Raspadori
-
21
Nicolo Zaniolo
Malta team news
Out of Malta’s players, the majority are active in the domestic league. Only five players, namely Zach Muscat, Cain Attard, Teddy Teuma, Matthew Guillaumier, and Jodi Jones, are participating outside of Malta.
The team’s most prominent player, Tedy Teuma (Reims), holds a market value of 5 million euros, making him their biggest star.
Malta’s market value amounts to approximately 11 million euros, while Italy’s market value stands at 750 million euros.
Last matches of Malta
-
12 sep 23
Malta
0 : 2
North Macedonia
Euro Qualification
-
06 sep 23
Malta
1 : 0
Gibraltar
Friendly International
-
19 jun 23
Ukraine
1 : 0
Malta
Euro Qualification
-
16 jun 23
Malta
0 : 4
England
Euro Qualification
-
09 jun 23
Luxembourg
0 : 1
Malta
Friendly International
Malta lineup
Goalkeeper
-
1
Henry Bonello
Defenders
-
7
Joseph Mbong
-
4
Steve Borg
-
13
Enrico Pepe
-
22
Zach Muscat
-
3
Ryan Camenzuli
Midfielders
-
6
Matthew Guillaumier
-
19
Bjorn Kristensen
-
10
Teddy Teuma
Forwards
-
14
Kyrian Nwoko
-
23
Jordi Jones
4 Reasons why we should see fewer than four goals
- In all five games of these EURO Qualifiers, Italia did not concede more than 3.5 goals.
- In seven out of the last eight games, Malta had less than 3.5 goals.
- Malta managed to score only once in five games during the EURO Qualifiers.
- The last five head-to-head games ended with less than 2.5 goals scored.
Main prediction Italy &— Malta
Under 3.5 goals
Best Odds:
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2.02
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Italy & Malta current standing in Euro Qualification
| Group C | P | W | D | L | G &— A | GD | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | England | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 16 &— 2 | +14 | 13 |
| 2 | Ukraine | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 &— 7 | -1 | 7 |
| 3 | Italy | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 &— 4 | +2 | 7 |
| 4 | North Macedonia | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 &— 12 | -5 | 7 |
| 5 | Malta | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 &— 11 | -10 | 0 |