Atalanta vs Genoa prediction 22.10.2023

Atalanta

Atalanta

October 22 16:00 (GMT)

Genoa

Genoa

  • Competition: Serie A
  • Date: Sunday, 22nd October 2023
  • Kickoff: 17:00 UTC +1 / 18:00 CEST
  • Venue: Gewiss Stadium (Bergamo)

Over the past seven seasons, Atalanta has emerged as a prominent team in Italy, successfully earning the Champions League spot four times. However, in the previous year, they settled for the Europa League after finishing 5th in the domestic league, narrowly missing the Champions League qualification by six points behind AC Milan. Undoubtedly, their objective this season will be to reclaim the coveted Champions League spot. At present, Atalanta sits in 6th place with 13 points, trailing four points behind the 4th place.

After a remarkable 15-year run in the Italian top-flight division, Genoa faced relegation in the 2021/22 season. Nevertheless, they swiftly bounced back, achieving a second-place finish in Serie B last season, with a mere seven-point deficit behind Frosinone, who clinched the top spot. As the new season unfolds, their primary objective is to ensure their survival, a goal they are currently achieving. With eight points from eight rounds, Il Grifone currently sits in 15th place, a comfortable four points away from the perilous danger zone.

Atalanta vs Genoa pick: Atalanta to win and cover the -1 AH spread

This season, Atalanta is performing well, triumphing in six out of ten matches across all competitions. Impressively, four of these victories were achieved with a goal difference of at least two. Particularly at Gewiss Stadium, Atalanta has displayed exceptional form, securing three wins and a draw. In the game against Juventus, Atalanta was undoubtedly the superior team and deserved a perfect home record. It is worth noting that Atalanta has yet to concede a goal at Gewiss Stadium.

Although Genoa had an impressive win against AS Roma (4:1), their overall performance in the last six games has been lacking. Unfortunately, they will be missing key players due to suspensions and injuries for their upcoming match. Without a full squad, we believe they will struggle against one of the stronger teams in the league, especially when playing on the road.

We expect Atalanta to easily win the match due to their superiority as a team, playing on their home ground, and considering the crucial players missing from Genoa’s squad. A surprising outcome would be anything other than a comfortable victory for Atalanta.

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Atalanta vs Genoa Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. 13 mar 22

    Atalanta

    0 : 0

    Genoa

    Serie A

  2. 21 dec 21

    Genoa

    0 : 0

    Atalanta

    Serie A

  3. 15 may 21

    Genoa

    3 : 4

    Atalanta

    Serie A

  4. 17 jan 21

    Atalanta

    0 : 0

    Genoa

    Serie A

  5. 02 feb 20

    Atalanta

    2 : 2

    Genoa

    Serie A

Atalanta

Atalanta team news

Rafael Toloi, the captain of the team, sustained an injury during the Europa League match against Sporting, causing him to sit out the recent Serie A game versus Lazio. However, reports from Italian media suggest that the injury is not severe, and the 33-year-old defender might make a swift return to the field. At present, his availability for the upcoming game remains uncertain.

Due to an injury, Teun Koopmeiners, a crucial midfielder, had to withdraw from the Netherlands squad and is expected to be absent for the upcoming game(s). If he remains unavailable, Mario Pasalic could potentially join the starting eleven.

In addition to the aforementioned individuals, El Bilal Toure, who joined during the Summer, will continue to be unavailable due to a hamstring injury.

Last matches of Atalanta

  1. 08 oct 23

    Lazio

    3 : 2

    Atalanta

    Serie A

  2. 05 oct 23

    Sporting CP

    1 : 2

    Atalanta

    Europa League

  3. 01 oct 23

    Atalanta

    0 : 0

    Juventus

    Serie A

  4. 27 sep 23

    Hellas Verona

    0 : 1

    Atalanta

    Serie A

  5. 24 sep 23

    Atalanta

    2 : 0

    Cagliari

    Serie A

Atalanta lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Juan Musso

Defenders

  • 77

    Davide Zappacosta

  • 42

    Giorgio Scalvini

  • 23

    Sead Kolasinac

  • 19

    Berat Djimsiti

Midfielders

  • 17

    Charles De Ketelaere

  • 13

    Ederson

  • 8

    Mario Pasalic

Forwards

  • 11

    Ademola Lookman

  • 9

    Luis Muriel

  • 90

    Gianluca Scamacca

Genoa

Genoa team news

The previous game against AC Milan saw Josep Martinez, the first goalkeeper, being shown a red card. As a result, he will not be able to participate in the upcoming game. In all likelihood, we can expect Daniele Sommariva to take his place, despite having minimal experience in Serie A.

Genoa will face a significant setback as their key striker, Mateo Reteugi, will be unable to participate in the game due to knee problems. His absence is expected to pose a major challenge for the team. Additionally, the backup option upfront, Junior Messias, is also set to miss the game due to injury.

The game is likely to be missing two key midfielders, Kevin Strootman and Milan Badelj, due to injuries.

Last matches of Genoa

  1. 07 oct 23

    Genoa

    0 : 1

    AC Milan

    Serie A

  2. 01 oct 23

    Udinese

    2 : 2

    Genoa

    Serie A

  3. 28 sep 23

    Genoa

    4 : 1

    AS Roma

    Serie A

  4. 22 sep 23

    Lecce

    1 : 0

    Genoa

    Serie A

  5. 16 sep 23

    Genoa

    2 : 2

    Napoli

    Serie A

Genoa lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Josep Martinez

Defenders

  • 13

    Mattia Bani

  • 4

    Koni De Winter

  • 5

    Radu Dragusin

  • 22

    Johan Vasquez

Midfielders

  • 2

    Morten Thorsby

  • 17

    Ruslan Malinovsky

  • 32

    Morten Frendrup

Forwards

  • 11

    Albert Gudmundsson

  • 18

    Caleb Ekuban

  • 37

    George Puscas

3 Reasons why Atalanta should win and cover the -1 AH spread

  1. In four home games, Atalanta achieved victory in three matches and secured a draw in one.
  2. In the past four home games, Atalanta have managed to keep a clean sheet and not concede any goals.
  3. In the past six games, Genoa emerged victorious only once.

Main prediction Atalanta &— Genoa

AH1 (-1)

Updated 19.10.2023

clock
winrate

54% winrate

wins

2 wins in a row

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Additional predictions

Atalanta & Genoa current standing in Serie A

Regular Season P W D L
G &— A
GD Pts
1 Milan 8 7 0 1 16 &— 8 +8 21
2 Inter 8 6 1 1 21 &— 5 +16 19
3 Juventus 8 5 2 1 14 &— 6 +8 17
4 Fiorentina 8 5 2 1 18 &— 11 +7 17
5 Napoli 8 4 2 2 17 &— 9 +8 14
6 Atalanta 8 4 1 3 13 &— 8 +5 13
7 Monza 8 3 3 2 8 &— 7 +1 12
8 Frosinone 8 3 3 2 11 &— 11 0 12
9 Lecce 8 3 3 2 9 &— 10 -1 12
10 Roma 8 3 2 3 19 &— 12 +7 11
11 Bologna 8 2 5 1 8 &— 6 +2 11
12 Sassuolo 8 3 1 4 12 &— 14 -2 10
13 Lazio 8 3 1 4 10 &— 12 -2 10
14 Torino 8 2 3 3 6 &— 9 -3 9
15 Genoa 8 2 2 4 10 &— 12 -2 8
16 Hellas Verona 8 2 2 4 5 &— 8 -3 8
17 Udinese 8 0 5 3 4 &— 12 -8 5
18 Empoli 8 1 1 6 1 &— 16 -15 4
19 Salernitana 8 0 3 5 4 &— 17 -13 3
20 Cagliari 8 0 2 6 3 &— 16 -13 2

Atalanta vs Genoa &— FAQ

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Where to watch?

The official broadcast of the match can be found on the Arena Sport channel.

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How much is the average xG for Atalanta this season?

Atalanta’s average expected goals (xG) in Serie A this season amounts to 1.61.

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How much is the average xG for Genoa this season?

Genoa’s average expected goals (xG) in the Serie A this season stands at 0.68.