AC Milan vs Juventus prediction 22.10.2023

AC Milan

AC Milan

October 22 18:45 (GMT)

Juventus

Juventus

  • Competition: Serie A
  • Date: Sunday, 22nd October 2023
  • Kickoff: 19:45 UTC +1 / 20:45 CEST
  • Venue: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (San Siro) (Milan)

In the 2021/22 season, AC Milan emerged victorious, claiming their 19th Scudetto. However, the preceding season was quite disappointing for the Rossoneri. They were eliminated from the Champions League during the semi-finals and ended up securing a 4th place finish in Serie A. Surprisingly, their qualification for the Champions League was only possible due to a fortunate circumstance &— Juventus faced a ten-point deduction. Had it not been for this, Milan would have found themselves competing in the Europa League instead. This season, AC Milan has started off impressively in Serie A, currently occupying the top spot with 21 points, surpassing their city rival Inter by a mere two points.

Juventus experienced a captivating previous season, marked by their 7th place finish in Serie A due to a ten-point deduction and subsequent one-year ban from UEFA competitions. Nevertheless, the resilient team managed to retain the majority of their key players and, in subjective terms, they remain on par with the previous season’s performance. The present season began on a positive note, amassing 17 points in eight rounds, a mere four points behind the league’s frontrunner and their upcoming adversary, AC Milan.

AC Milan vs Juventus pick: Under 2.5 goals

In recent times, Milan’s defense has been outstanding, managing to maintain a clean sheet in five out of the last six games. The Rossoneri have predominantly kept their opponents under 2.5 goals in five of those six matches, mainly due to their solid defensive performance.

Juventus, following their disappointing defeat against Sassuolo with a score of 4-2, have made remarkable strides in their defensive performance. They have managed to maintain a clean sheet in the subsequent three matches. Despite conceding four goals against Sassuolo, Juventus still possess one of the strongest defensive records in the league, having only allowed six goals throughout the season. Only Inter has conceded fewer goals, with a mere five.

During the past two seasons, these two teams faced each other four times and in each match, the total goals scored were less than 2.5. Presently, both teams display strong defensive skills, and considering their previous head-to-head games, we believe that placing a bet on under 2.5 goals would be the most secure choice for this match.

Best bookmakers for AC Milan vs Juventus match

AC Milan vs Juventus Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. 28 may 23

    Juventus

    0 : 1

    AC Milan

    Serie A

  2. 08 oct 22

    AC Milan

    2 : 0

    Juventus

    Serie A

  3. 23 jan 22

    AC Milan

    0 : 0

    Juventus

    Serie A

  4. 19 sep 21

    Juventus

    1 : 1

    AC Milan

    Serie A

  5. 09 may 21

    Juventus

    0 : 3

    AC Milan

    Serie A

AC Milan

AC Milan team news

In the last match against Genoa, goalkeeper Mike Maignan was shown a straight red card and will not be able to play in the upcoming game. Additionally, our starting left full-back, Theo Hernandez, received his fifth yellow card and will be suspended for one game.

Noah Okafor sustained a minor head injury, compelling him to withdraw from the Switzerland national team. In a similar vein, Samuel Chukwueze incurred an injury during his appearance for the Nigerian national team and is expected to be sidelined for a minimum of one month.

In addition to the recent injuries, the team will be without Ruben Loftus-Cheek, Rade Krunic, Pierre Kalulu, Mattia Caldara, and Ismaël Bennacer, who have already been absent in the previous games.

Last matches of AC Milan

  1. 07 oct 23

    Genoa

    0 : 1

    AC Milan

    Serie A

  2. 04 oct 23

    Borussia Dortmund

    0 : 0

    AC Milan

    Champions League

  3. 30 sep 23

    AC Milan

    2 : 0

    Lazio

    Serie A

  4. 27 sep 23

    Cagliari

    1 : 3

    AC Milan

    Serie A

  5. 23 sep 23

    AC Milan

    1 : 0

    Hellas Verona

    Serie A

AC Milan lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 57

    Marco Sportiello

Defenders

  • 42

    Alessandro Florenzi

  • 28

    Malick Thiaw

  • 23

    Fikayo Tomori

  • 2

    Davide Calabria

Midfielders

  • 14

    Tijjani Reijnders

  • 7

    Yachine Adli

  • 80

    Musah Yunus

Forwards

  • 11

    Christian Pulisic

  • 9

    Olivier Giroud

  • 10

    Rafael Leao

Juventus

Juventus team news

Danilo, a key central defender, sustained an injury while representing Brazil, ruling him out of the upcoming match against Milan.

Due to injuries, Mattia De Sciglio and Alex Sandro will continue to be unavailable. However, Federico Chiesa and Dusan Vlahovic, who were absent in the previous matches, are nearing their return. Although their participation is uncertain, there is a possibility of them featuring on the field for a limited amount of time.

After recovering from his injuries and making a long-awaited comeback to the field, Paul Pogba faced an unfortunate setback as he tested positive for a prohibited substance. Consequently, he has been suspended and may potentially face a four-year ban.

The game will be without Nicolo Fagioli as he has been suspended for breaching betting rules. The young midfielder will remain unavailable until May 2024.

Last matches of Juventus

  1. 07 oct 23

    Juventus

    2 : 0

    Torino

    Serie A

  2. 01 oct 23

    Atalanta

    0 : 0

    Juventus

    Serie A

  3. 26 sep 23

    Juventus

    1 : 0

    Lecce

    Serie A

  4. 23 sep 23

    Sassuolo

    4 : 2

    Juventus

    Serie A

  5. 16 sep 23

    Juventus

    3 : 1

    Lazio

    Serie A

Juventus lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Wijciech Szczesny

Defenders

  • 4

    Federico Gatti

  • 3

    Bremer

  • 24

    Daniele Rugani

Midfielders

  • 16

    Weston Mckennie

  • 20

    Pablo Miretti

  • 5

    Manuel Locatelli

  • 25

    Adrien Rabiot

  • 11

    Filip Kostic

Forwards

  • 14

    Arkadiusz Milik

  • 18

    Moise Kean

4 Reasons why we should see fewer than three goals

  1. In five out of the last six games, AC Milan has managed to maintain a clean sheet.
  2. In eight rounds, Juventus conceded just six goals.
  3. In the past three games, neither team scored more than 2.5 goals.
  4. In the last four head-to-head games, there were less than three goals scored.

Main prediction AC Milan &— Juventus

Under 2.5 goals

Updated 20.10.2023

clock
winrate

54% winrate

wins

2 wins in a row

For over a decade, Nikola has been engaged in betting, honing his skills and experiencing remarkable growth in the past few years. His expertise primarily lies in football and basketball, which have significantly contributed to his impressive profits.

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Additional predictions

AC Milan & Juventus current standing in Serie A

Regular Season P W D L
G &— A
GD Pts
1 Milan 8 7 0 1 16 &— 8 +8 21
2 Inter 8 6 1 1 21 &— 5 +16 19
3 Juventus 8 5 2 1 14 &— 6 +8 17
4 Fiorentina 8 5 2 1 18 &— 11 +7 17
5 Napoli 8 4 2 2 17 &— 9 +8 14
6 Atalanta 8 4 1 3 13 &— 8 +5 13
7 Monza 8 3 3 2 8 &— 7 +1 12
8 Frosinone 8 3 3 2 11 &— 11 0 12
9 Lecce 8 3 3 2 9 &— 10 -1 12
10 Roma 8 3 2 3 19 &— 12 +7 11
11 Bologna 8 2 5 1 8 &— 6 +2 11
12 Sassuolo 8 3 1 4 12 &— 14 -2 10
13 Lazio 8 3 1 4 10 &— 12 -2 10
14 Torino 8 2 3 3 6 &— 9 -3 9
15 Genoa 8 2 2 4 10 &— 12 -2 8
16 Hellas Verona 8 2 2 4 5 &— 8 -3 8
17 Udinese 8 0 5 3 4 &— 12 -8 5
18 Empoli 8 1 1 6 1 &— 16 -15 4
19 Salernitana 8 0 3 5 4 &— 17 -13 3
20 Cagliari 8 0 2 6 3 &— 16 -13 2

AC Milan vs Juventus &— FAQ

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Where to watch?

The official broadcast of the match can be found on the Arena Sport channel.

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How much is the average xG for AC Milan this season?

AC Milan’s xG average in Serie A this season stands at 1.33.

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How much is the average xG for Juventus this season?

Juventus’ average expected goals (xG) in the Serie A this season stands at 1.4.