England vs Italy prediction 17.10.2023

England

England

October 17 18:45 (GMT)

Italy

Italy

  • Competition: EURO Qualifications
  • Date: Tuesday, 17th October 2023
  • Kickoff: 19:45 UK / 20:45 CEST
  • Venue: Wembley Stadium (London)

A massive game between England and Italy is scheduled for Tuesday night at Wembley. England currently leads the group with 13 points from five rounds, followed closely by Italy and Ukraine with ten points (although Ukraine has played one additional match). Both England and Italy are desperate for points, particularly Luciano Spalletti’s team, which could encounter difficulties if they suffer a defeat on Tuesday.

England is very close to qualifying for EURO. If Gareth Southgate’s team wins or draws on Tuesday, they will almost certainly secure a spot in the European championship next year. This is especially likely considering their upcoming games against North Macedonia and Malta. In October, Southgate’s team did not have any qualifying matches. Their only game was a friendly against Australia, which they won 1-0 at home. Despite playing with a mixed lineup, the performance was not as good as expected, with England having eight shots fewer than their opponents. While the win is important, the fans will be expecting a better performance against Italy on Tuesday.

Italy chose not to participate in the World Cup in Qatar, and if they fail to qualify for EURO, it would be considered a near national catastrophe. The acquisition of one or three points would significantly increase Italy’s chances of winning the championship. Italy has not suffered any losses in their last four matches. In their most recent game, they emerged victorious with a 4-0 score against Malta at their home ground. However, it is important to note that Malta, being a Mediterranean country, did not pose a real challenge for Italy. Their upcoming match against England on Tuesday is expected to present Italy with many more difficulties.

England vs Italy pick: Over 2.5 goals

In the first five qualifying matches, both England and Italy managed to score more than ten goals each (England with 16 and Italy with 10). During their initial head-to-head match, England emerged victorious with a 2-1 win. It is anticipated that Tuesday’s game will also witness a minimum of three goals.

Best bookmakers for England vs Italy match

England vs Italy Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. 23 mar 23

    Italy

    1 : 2

    England

    Euro Qualification

  2. 23 sep 22

    Italy

    1 : 0

    England

    UEFA Nations League

  3. 11 jun 22

    England

    0 : 0

    Italy

    UEFA Nations League

  4. 27 mar 18

    England

    1 : 1

    Italy

    Friendly International

  5. 31 mar 15

    Italy

    1 : 1

    England

    Friendly International

England

England team news

In a friendly match against Australia, Gareth Southgate opted for a varied lineup. However, for the upcoming game against Italy on Tuesday, we can anticipate a more typical lineup.

Bukayo Saka will be absent for England in October due to a thigh injury. John Stones, the defender, is currently recovering from a hip injury but made an appearance as a substitute in a friendly on Friday. It remains uncertain whether Stones will be fit enough to start against Italy on Tuesday.

Last matches of England

  1. 17 oct 23

    England

    3 : 1

    Italy

    Euro Qualification

  2. 13 oct 23

    England

    1 : 0

    Australia

    Friendly International

  3. 12 sep 23

    Scotland

    1 : 3

    England

    Friendly International

  4. 09 sep 23

    Ukraine

    1 : 1

    England

    Euro Qualification

  5. 19 jun 23

    England

    7 : 0

    North Macedonia

    Euro Qualification

England lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Jordan Pickford

Defenders

  • 2

    Kyle Walker

  • 5

    John Stones

  • 6

    Harry Maguire

  • 3

    Kieran Trippier

Midfielders

  • 8

    Kalvin Phillips

  • 4

    Declan Rice

  • 7

    Phil Foden

  • 10

    Jude Bellingham

  • 11

    Marcus Rashford

Forwards

  • 9

    Harry Kane

Italy

Italy team news

Italy is facing significant challenges in preparation for the match against England.

In addition to the previously mentioned injured players, Mattia Zaccagni will also be unable to participate in Tuesday’s game. This means that Federico Chiesa, Ivan Provedel, Ciro Immobile, Mateo Retegui, and Lorenzo Pellegrini were already confirmed to miss the match due to their respective injuries.

Also, Sandro Tonali and Nicolo Zaniolo were sent to their clubs after they were formally placed under investigation for Illegal betting. 

Last matches of Italy

  1. 17 oct 23

    England

    3 : 1

    Italy

    Euro Qualification

  2. 14 oct 23

    Italy

    4 : 0

    Malta

    Euro Qualification

  3. 12 sep 23

    Italy

    2 : 1

    Ukraine

    Euro Qualification

  4. 09 sep 23

    North Macedonia

    1 : 1

    Italy

    Euro Qualification

  5. 18 jun 23

    Netherlands

    2 : 3

    Italy

    UEFA Nations League

Italy lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Gianluigi Donnarumma

Defenders

  • 2

    Giovanni Di Lorenzo

  • 19

    Giorgio Scalvini

  • 15

    Francesco Acerbi

  • 6

    Destiny Udogie

Midfielders

  • 17

    Davide Frattesi

  • 16

    Bryan Cristante

  • 18

    Nicolò Barella

Forwards

  • 11

    Domenico Berardi

  • 9

    Gianluca Scamacca

  • 22

    Stephan El Shaarawy

3 Reasons why we should see at least three goals in this game

  1. In five qualifying matches, England managed to score a total of 16 goals.
  2. In five qualifying games, Italy managed to score a total of ten goals.
  3. In their recent head-to-head match, England emerged victorious with a score of 2-1 against Italy.

Main prediction England &— Italy

Over 2.5 goals

Updated 15.10.2023

clock
winrate

55% winrate

wins

3 wins in a row

Over a span of 15 years, Nemanja honed his betting skills, progressively becoming adept at assisting others in making wise bets. Although he initially played basketball at a youth level, his passion for sports extends to various disciplines, with a particular interest in football and tennis.

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Euro Qualification Euro Qualification

17.10

18:45

England vs Italy

Best odds 2.06

Type: BTTS

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They scored a total of 10 goals in the games, with the Three Lions and the Azzurri each scoring 5 goals. This results in an average of 1.67 goals per game.

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Additional predictions

AH1 (-1)

Best odds:2.12

BTTS

Best odds:2.06

England & Italy current standing in Euro Qualification

Group C P W D L
G &— A
GD Pts
1 England 5 4 1 0 16 &— 2 +14 13
2 Italy 5 3 1 1 10 &— 4 +6 10
3 Ukraine 6 3 1 2 8 &— 7 +1 10
4 North Macedonia 6 2 1 3 7 &— 14 -7 7
5 Malta 6 0 0 6 1 &— 15 -14 0

England vs Italy &— FAQ

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Where to watch?

The official broadcast of the match can be found on the Arena Sport channel.

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How much is the average xG for England in these qualifications?

England’s average xG in these qualifications stands at 1.73.

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How much is the average xG for Italy in these qualifications?

Italy has an average Expected Goals (xG) of 1.58 throughout these qualifications.