Levante vs Racing Ferrol prediction 16.10.2023

• Competition: La Liga 2
• Date: Monday, 16th October 2023
• Kickoff: 20:00 UTC +1 / 21:00 CEST
• Venue: Estadi Ciutat de València (Valencia)

In the 2021/22 season, Levante was demoted from La Liga and was unable to immediately regain their position in the top Spanish division. Despite finishing 3rd last season, they were tied on points (72) with Las Palmas, who came in 2nd. However, due to a weaker head-to-head record, Levante had to compete in the Playoffs. Despite coming close to securing promotion, they lost the Playoff Finals against Alaves by a single goal in extra time. In the current season, Levante remains a contender for promotion, currently sitting in 4th place with 19 points, just two points behind the top spot.

After spending 15 years in the third (mostly) and fourth tier of Spanish football, Racing Ferrol successfully clinched promotion to La Liga 2 last season. The ongoing season has begun on a positive note for “Os Departamentais,” as they currently occupy the 9th position after ten rounds. They are merely three points away from their upcoming rival, Levante.

Levante vs Racing Ferrol pick: Under 2.5 goals

Levante’s defensive performance has been outstanding, particularly in their recent matches. They managed to keep a clean sheet in four out of the last five games. This impressive feat can be attributed to their solid defense, as they conceded less than 2.5 goals throughout this five-game period.

In the past five matches, Racing Ferrol had less than 2.5 goals scored four times. The only time they surpassed this line was against Espanyol, where they lost 3-0. However, based on xG statistics, we would have expected to see only 1.16 goals in total. Therefore, that particular game could have easily ended with fewer than three goals.

Racing Ferrol, while on the road, has been unable to score in their previous two games. They now face the difficult challenge of scoring against one of the top defensive teams.

Taking into account that both teams have only surpassed the 2.5 goals mark twice in ten rounds, Levante’s strong defensive performance, and Ferrol’s weak offensive performance away from home, we believe that betting on under 2.5 goals is the most secure option for this match.