Tenerife vs Alcorcón prediction 11.12.2023

• Competition: La Liga 2
• Date: Monday, 11th December 2023
• Kickoff: 20:00 UK / 21:00 CET
• Venue: Estadio Heliodoro Rodríguez López (Santa Cruz de Tenerife)

Currently, Tenerife are in their 11th season of competing in La Liga 2. They have been largely a mid-table team, except for two standout seasons (2016/17 and 2021/22) where they reached the playoffs. This year started off promisingly, with the team reaching the top five in the standings after 13 rounds. However, a poor streak saw them drop in the rankings. Recent good performances suggest they are regaining their momentum. Currently, they are in 9th place with 27 points, just three points shy of a playoffs spot. They also made it to the Copa del Rey 1/16 Finals after defeating Deportivo La Coruna in extra time in their previous match, a significant achievement for the beloved Tete.

Alcorcon, after spending 12 seasons in La Liga 2, were demoted to the third tier of Spanish football during the 2021/22 season. Fortunately, they managed to secure an immediate promotion back to La Liga 2. However, their current performance is disappointing, with the team sitting at 21st place and only 14 points to their name, six points short of the safety zone. Alcorcon’s situation continues to deteriorate as the season advances, leaving little room for optimism. Their recent elimination from Copa del Rey by the bottom team in La Liga 2, Cartagena, has further exacerbated their struggles. Despite changing their coach in an attempt to turn things around, the team has yet to yield any positive results under the new leadership, even in the Copa del Rey.

Tenerife vs Alcorcon pick: Under 2.5 goals

At Estadio Heliodoro Rodríguez López, Tenerife mostly participated in low-scoring games. Out of their nine matches in La Liga 2, only once did the match exceed 2.5 goals. This unusual match was against Burgos, ending in a 2:1 score, featuring a red card and three penalties. Consequently, less than three goals were scored in each of the nine games. Tenerife’s stellar defensive home record, which allowed only four goals (0.44 per game), is the primary explanation for the predominance of low-scoring games.

Alcorcon’s performance has been dismal, particularly in terms of scoring, as they haven’t managed a single goal in their last four games. Anticipating a goal against a team that has only conceded four goals in their home stadium seems quite challenging.

Based on past head-to-head matches, these teams consistently played games with low scores. In six out of the last seven head-to-head games, they scored under 2.5 goals, which is 85.7% of the time. Given Tenerife’s strong defensive record at home, Alcorcon’s poor goal-scoring performance, and their past head-to-head games, we believe that betting on under 2.5 goals is the most secure option for this match.