Frosinone vs AC Milan prediction 03.02.2024

• Competition: Serie A
• Date: Saturday, 3rd February 2024
• Kickoff: 17:00 UK / 18:00 CET
• Venue: Stadio Benito Stirpe (Frosinone)

This Saturday afternoon, at Stadio Benito Stirpe in Frosinone, Frosinone will be hosting AC Milan, a team that has won the Scudetto 19 times.

Frosinone clinched the Serie A title last season by winning Serie B, leaving Genoa behind by seven points. The Yellow and Blues started this season excellently, and even though they had a rough patch from mid-December to mid-January, they are comfortably away from the relegation zone. Currently, they are in 13th place with 23 points, a five-point cushion from the danger zone. The main aim for Frosinone is to ensure they avoid relegation, especially considering their failure to do so during their last two stints in Serie A. Frosinone also had a commendable run in the Cup, making it to the quarter-finals before being ousted by Juve at Allianz Stadium.

AC Milan clinched their last Scudetto in the 2021/22 season. However, they fell short of achieving the same feat the following season, finishing 4th and narrowly securing a Champions League spot. This was largely due to a ban imposed on Juventus by UEFA for financial malpractices. Despite this, the Rossoneri’s performance this year has not met expectations. They currently stand 3rd in the Serie A league, trailing behind Inter and Juventus in the title race. Furthermore, they were eliminated from the Cup by Atalanta in the Quarter-Finals and failed to make it to the UCL knockout stage. However, their third-place finish in the group stage ensures that they will continue their European journey in the Europa League knockout phase.

Frosinone vs AC Milan pick: Over 2.5 goals

Frosinone boasts the highest goal per game at 3.2 and holds the record for the most games with three or more goals, achieving this feat in 15 out of 22 games. However, their defensive play has been quite poor, with 41 goals conceded, making them the second-worst in Serie A. In contrast, their offense has been strong, outperforming teams lower in the league table. For instance, they nearly matched Napoli, last season’s champions, who only scored one more goal. Therefore, in their home game against Milan, who have recently been struggling with their defense, we anticipate Frosinone to score at least one goal.

Recently, AC Milan has been involved in high-scoring games, with over 2.5 goals scored in their last six matches across all competitions. Their offensive performance has been impressive in the last three games, netting eight goals despite missing two penalties.

In the last head-to-head game in Milan, AC Milan secured a victory with a 3:1 score. Based on this, we think that the safest bet for this Serie A match would be over 2.5 goals.