Contents
- Competition: UEFA Champions League &— last 16 2nd leg
- Date: Tuesday, 5th, March 2024
- Kickoff: 20:00 UK / 21.00 CET
- Venue: Allianz Arena (Munchen)
After suffering a defeat in the first leg, Bayern Munich is preparing for a significant match against Serie A team, Lazio. They aim to reverse their loss and secure a place in the Champions League quarterfinals.
Bayern Munich vs Lazio Betting Tips: Under 3.5
The Munich giants are going through a crisis unlike anything they’ve faced in a long while. They unexpectedly exited the DFB Pokal second-round earlier in the season with a 1-2 loss to third-tier team Saarbrucken. Currently, they’re teetering on the edge of Champions League elimination, having lost 0-1 in the first leg in Rome. Furthermore, it appears their dominance in Germany is coming to a close.
Bayern’s chances of securing the Bundesliga trophy for a record-breaking 12th straight season seem hopeless after the dramatic events of Friday. Despite their attempted comeback, they ultimately wound up in a nail-biting 2-2 draw against Freiburg. This has given league leaders Leverkusen a golden opportunity to move into a double-digit lead with a victory on Sunday.
The club executives, frustrated with the situation, quickly decided to remove Thomas Tuchel from the coaching position, if he is unable to overcome a one-goal deficit and make it to the quarter-finals of Europe’s premier club competition. Despite the looming pressure, Tuchel, the 50-year-old strategist, can find encouragement in the Munich team’s excellent record. They have won six of the last seven home matches against Serie A adversaries, and four of these victories were by a two-goal lead.
Interestingly, Lazio fell victim to Bayer’s winning streak, though not by a large margin, as the Italian team narrowly lost 1-2 the last and only time they faced off at the Allianz Arena three years ago. If this result repeats, we would only know this year’s quarter-finalist after extra time or possible penalties.
The impressive record of the Romans taking the lead in the first legs of knockout ties, securing progress in 12 out of the last 13 instances, gives a significant boost to Maurizio Sarri’s squad ahead of their challenging trip to Munich. However, their recent uninspiring performances on the field raise doubts about their ability to secure an aggregate victory.
The Biancocelesti had a dismal start to their third month of the year. They not only suffered a last-minute 0-1 defeat against AC Milan, but also ended the game with only eight players remaining. Luca Pellegrini, Adam Marusic, and Matteo Guendouzi were given red cards, leading to their third defeat in the last four Serie A rounds.
Regardless of Lazio’s troubles outside of Rome this season, we believe they will be well-organized and ready to inflict more despair on the recent misfortunes of the Munich club, who have come out on top only once in their last five appearances in any competition. With Bayern in the midst of a rut and a laundry list of absentees, the resolute Romans are hoping to disrupt the Bavarians’ rhythm, potentially setting the stage for a quiet affair with no more than three goals.
Bayern Munich vs Lazio Head to Head (H2H) stats
-
14 feb 24
Lazio
1 : 0
Bayern Munich
Champions League
-
17 mar 21
Bayern Munich
2 : 1
Lazio
Champions League
-
23 feb 21
Lazio
1 : 4
Bayern Munich
Champions League
Bayern Munich team news
Key figure in Bayern’s attack, Leroy Sane, missed Friday’s Bundesliga trip to Freiburg with a knee problem and it would be a serious blow for the Munich club if he is sidelined for the Champions League round of 16 second leg against Lazio.
Under pressure, the Bavarians coach Thomas Tuchel will also be unable to call on French defender Dayot Upamecano, who was the biggest culprit in the defeat in Rome, as he was red carded and allowed Lazio to take a narrow lead in the first leg via penalties.
Last matches of Bayern Munich
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01 mar 24
SC Freiburg
2 : 2
Bayern Munich
Bundesliga
-
24 feb 24
Bayern Munich
2 : 1
RB Leipzig
Bundesliga
-
18 feb 24
Bochum
3 : 2
Bayern Munich
Bundesliga
-
14 feb 24
Lazio
1 : 0
Bayern Munich
Champions League
-
10 feb 24
Bayer Leverkusen
3 : 0
Bayern Munich
Bundesliga
Bayern Munich lineup
Goalkeeper
-
1
Manuel Neuer
Defenders
-
19
Alphonso Davies
-
15
Eric Dier
-
4
Matthijs de Ligt
-
6
Joshua Kimmich
Midfielders
-
8
Leon Goretzka
-
45
Aleksandar Pavlovic
-
42
Jamal Musiala
-
25
Thomas Müller
-
10
Leroy Sane
Forwards
-
9
Harry Kane
Lazio team news
Luca Pellegrini picked up two yellow cards in Friday’s defeat to the Rossoneri and will be sidelined for one Serie A match, while his colleagues Adam Marusic and Matteo Guendouzi face at least a two-match ban off the pitch due to direct red cards, but all three will be available for the Champions League round of 16 second leg clash in Munich.
The legendary Biancocelesti striker Ciro Immobile, who secured his side’s lead from the penalty spot in the first leg, was given a rest by coach Maurizio Sarri, stepping off the bench only after an hour, and the 34-year-old is set to spearhead the attack from the first minute on Tuesday.
Last matches of Lazio
-
01 mar 24
Lazio
0 : 1
AC Milan
Serie A
-
26 feb 24
Fiorentina
2 : 1
Lazio
Serie A
-
22 feb 24
Torino
0 : 2
Lazio
Serie A
-
18 feb 24
Lazio
1 : 2
Bologna
Serie A
-
14 feb 24
Lazio
1 : 0
Bayern Munich
Champions League
Lazio lineup
Goalkeeper
-
94
Ivan Provedel
Defenders
-
23
Elseid Hysaj
-
13
Alessio Romagnoli
-
34
Mario Gila
-
77
Adam Marusic
Midfielders
-
8
Matteo Guendouzi
-
10
Luis Alberto
-
32
Danilo Cataldi
Forwards
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7
Felipe Anderson
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17
Ciro Immobile
-
18
Gustav Isaksen
4 Reasons why we expect Under 3.5
- In six of their last seven competitive home matches, Bayern has witnessed fewer than 3.5 goals.
- In any format, Lazio has managed to score more than one goal in only one of their last five matches.
- No more than three goals have been scored in each of Lazio’s last five matches.
- The Bavarians narrowly won the last encounter between these sides at the Allianz Arena with a 2-1 score.
Main prediction Bayern Munich &— Lazio
AH1 (-1.5)
Best Odds:
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