Aston Villa vs Manchester United prediction 11.02.2024

• Competition: Premier League
• Date: Sunday, 11th February 2024
• Kickoff: 16:30 UK / 17:30 CET
• Venue: Villa Park (Birmingham)

Without a doubt, Aston Villa has been one of the pleasant surprises in the Premier League. Their progress under Unai Emery is clear, currently occupying 4th place, just five points shy of the top. However, there seems to be a slowdown as they have only won once in their last five matches across all competitions. Their response following a significant 3:1 defeat at Villa Park in the FA Cup 1/16 Finals against Chelsea will be intriguing to watch. Additionally, the Villans have excelled in the Europa Conference League, reaching the 1/8 Finals and being tipped as the title favourites by bookmakers. Generally, their season has been successful thus far, but their recent slump in form raises concerns.

Conversely, the current season has been a colossal disappointment for Manchester United, at least according to their own high standards. The Red Devils faced a humiliating defeat in the UCL, landing at the bottom of a relatively easy group featuring Bayern, FC Copenhagen, and Galatasaray. They are already trailing by 13 points in the Premier League and are eight points behind their next rival, who also occupies the Champions League spot. However, there seems to be a glimmer of hope as they have triumphed in four out of their last five games.

Aston Villa vs Manchester United pick: Over 2.5 goals

Aston Villa boasts one of the league’s top offenses, having netted 49 goals in 23 Premier League games, averaging 2.13 per game. This strong offensive performance has led to the Villans scoring over 2.5 goals in 16 out of their 23 Premier League matches. Their home performance has been particularly impressive for most of the season, with only three losses in 17 matches across all competitions. Notably, even in their losses, Aston Villa still managed to find the back of the net, suggesting a goal or two against any opponent in England is almost assured.

Manchester United has struggled significantly on the offensive front this season. However, it seems Erik ten Hag has finally discovered a winning formula. They’ve claimed victory in five of the last seven matches, netting 19 goals, an average of 2.71 per game! Although some of these matches were against lower-tier teams in the FA Cup, they still managed to score three goals against West Ham, four against Wolves, and two against Tottenham. These results are a strong cause for optimism.

Approximately a month and a half ago, Manchester United won a 3:2 match against these teams at Old Trafford. Furthermore, there have been three or more goals in five out of the last six head-to-head games. Taking into account the past head-to-head games, Aston Villa’s consistent offensive performance at Villa Park throughout the season, and Manchester United’s recent prolific scoring, we anticipate a minimum of three goals in the upcoming game, with a high probability of both teams contributing to the score.