Almería vs Sevilla prediction 11.03.2024

Almería

Almería

March 11 20:00 (GMT)

Sevilla

Sevilla

1

3.16

X

3.38

2

2.48

  • Competition: La Liga
  • Date: Monday, 11th March 2024
  • Kickoff: 20:00 UTC / 21:00 CET
  • Venue: Power Horse Stadium (Almería)

Almeria managed to evade relegation in La Liga last season by a narrow margin of one point. However, their luck appears to be running out this season, as they are currently languishing at the bottom of the league table. Presently, they have just nine points, a whole 15 points adrift of the safety zone. With only 11 matches left to play, it would require a remarkable turnaround for Almeria to ensure their place in Spain’s premier football division for another season.

In the 21st century, Sevilla established themselves as one of Spain’s premier teams. Despite this, they’ve struggled to secure even a mid-table finish in La Liga for the second consecutive season. They managed a 13th place finish last season, salvaging it with a Europa League title. Their performance this season has been largely disappointing, often placing them near the relegation zone. Sevilla, however, has recently shown significant improvement, losing only once to Real Madrid (1:0) in their last six matches. Thanks to several strong performances, they’ve climbed to the 14th spot and are now eight points clear of the relegation zone.

Almeria vs Sevilla pick: Under 2.5 goals

Almeria holds the unfortunate title of being the only team in the league without a win. They’ve struggled significantly in their offensive strategy throughout the season, scoring just 0.93 goals per game, placing them among the league’s weakest teams in this area. However, they have shown a slight improvement in their defense in recent games. Due to their weak offense and somewhat stronger defense lately, Almeria have managed to keep the score under 2.5 goals in three of their last four matches.

Sevilla has recently been involved in predominantly low-scoring games, exceeding just twice in their last seven matches across all competitions. Their offensive performance has also been less than stellar, managing to score 33 goals in 27 matches. On away games, their goal average is only one per game. Therefore, even when facing the league’s weakest team, a high-scoring performance from Sevilla is not anticipated.

Taking into account all the aforementioned points, we believe that betting on less than 2.5 goals is the most secure wager for this La Liga match.

Almería vs Sevilla Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. 26 sep 23

    Sevilla

    5 : 1

    Almería

    La Liga

  2. 12 mar 23

    Sevilla

    2 : 1

    Almería

    La Liga

  3. 27 aug 22

    Almería

    2 : 1

    Sevilla

    La Liga

  4. 02 feb 21

    Almería

    0 : 1

    Sevilla

    Copa Del Rey

  5. 17 may 15

    Sevilla

    2 : 1

    Almería

    La Liga

Almería

Almería team news

Bruno Langa, a starting left full-back, was given a straight red card in a match against Celta Vigo and will now serve his suspension. With his absence, it’s likely that Álex Centelles will get a chance to start the game.

The team is experiencing significant injury issues, especially in the forward positions. Two key offensive players, Luis Suarez and Ibrahima Kone, are expected to be out due to injuries. Luka Romero, an attacking winger, incurred a muscle injury in the last match and is anticipated to be out of action until the end of March. Furthermore, Leo Baptistao sprained his ankle in the same match and his participation in the Sevilla game remains uncertain.

Last matches of Almería

  1. 01 mar 24

    Celta Vigo

    1 : 0

    Almería

    La Liga

  2. 24 feb 24

    Almería

    2 : 2

    Atletico Madrid

    La Liga

  3. 18 feb 24

    Granada

    1 : 1

    Almería

    La Liga

  4. 12 feb 24

    Almería

    0 : 0

    Athletic Bilbao

    La Liga

  5. 03 feb 24

    Valencia

    2 : 1

    Almería

    La Liga

Almería lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 25

    Luis Maximiano

Defenders

  • 18

    Marc Pubill

  • 3

    Edgar Gonzalez

  • 16

    Aleksandar Radovanovic

  • 20

    Álex Centelles

Midfielders

  • 5

    Lucas Robertone

  • 8

    Jonathan Viera

  • 4

    Iddrisu Baba

Forwards

  • 7

    Largie Ramazani

  • 15

    Anthony Lozano

  • 10

    Adri Embarba

Sevilla

Sevilla team news

The team is grappling with extensive injury issues and may be without as many as nine players for this match. Jesus Navas is the latest addition to the injury roster, having sustained an ankle injury against Real Sociedad.

In addition to Navas, the following players who were absent from previous games will likely remain sidelined: Joan Jordan, Erik Lamela, Lucien Agoume, Marcao, Mariano Diaz, Nemanja Gudelj, and Dodi Lukebakio. Additionally, Marcos Acuna’s participation is uncertain due to a muscle injury.

After serving their one-game suspensions against Real Sociedad, Lucas Ocampos and Djibril Sow are expected to return to the starting lineup for the match against Almeria.

Last matches of Sevilla

  1. 02 mar 24

    Sevilla

    3 : 2

    Real Sociedad

    La Liga

  2. 25 feb 24

    Real Madrid

    1 : 0

    Sevilla

    La Liga

  3. 17 feb 24

    Valencia

    0 : 0

    Sevilla

    La Liga

  4. 11 feb 24

    Sevilla

    1 : 0

    Atletico Madrid

    La Liga

  5. 05 feb 24

    Rayo Vallecano

    1 : 2

    Sevilla

    La Liga

Sevilla lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 13

    Orjan Nyland

Defenders

  • 26

    Juanlu Sanchez

  • 14

    Tanguy Nianzou

  • 4

    Sergio Ramos

  • 3

    Adria Pedrosa

Midfielders

  • 21

    Oliver Torres

  • 24

    Boubakary Soumare

  • 18

    Djibril Sow

  • 5

    Lucas Ocampos

Forwards

  • 20

    Isaac Romero

  • 15

    Youssef En Nesyri

3 Reasons why we should see fewer than three goals

  1. In three of the last four games, both teams scored under 2.5 goals.
  2. In the last six games, Almeria scored four goals.
  3. In La Liga, Sevilla scores an average of one goal per game when playing away from home.

Main prediction Almería &— Sevilla

Under 2.5 goals

Updated 08.03.2024

clock
winrate

56% winrate

wins

5 wins in a row

For over a decade, Nikola has been engaging in betting activities, notably improving his skills and increasing his profits in the last few years. His main focus is on football and basketball.

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Mystake

1.96

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Additional predictions

Team 2 to Win

Best odds:2.48

BTTS &— NO

Best odds:2.08

Almería vs Sevilla &— FAQ

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Where to watch?

The match is officially available on the Arena Sport channel.

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How much is the average xG for Almeria this season?

This season in La Liga, Almeria’s average xG is 1.18.

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How much is the average xG for Sevilla this season?

This season in La Liga, Sevilla’s average xG is 1.57.